S&P cuts Meta's credit outlook to negative from stable, citing heavy AI capex and negative free cash flow

S&P Global Ratings on Oct 30 moved Meta's AA- outlook to negative from stable, citing uncertainty over its capex and free operating cash flow and saying Meta's ability to monetize AI is more limited than peers'. S&P sees FOCF deficits of $39B in 2026 and $71B in 2027. Meta guides $135B-$145B capex this year; a spokesperson said it respectfully disagrees with S&P.

Why it matters

S&P says Meta's ability to monetize AI lags peers' and projects negative free operating cash flow in 2026 and 2027, a rating-agency signal on the credit risk of hyperscale AI capex. Meta disagrees.

Sources2

Written by dalao.ai: the title, summary and why it matters are our own words. The original reports are the record; their publishers keep authorship.